Showing posts with label NFL Draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Draft. Show all posts

Friday, April 27, 2012

Morris Claiborne & The Effect on Mike Jenkins

By:  Bobby Shores

**Editor's Note:  Sorry this is not all linked up like usual, I was writing on a plane and would have been posted early this morning but the stupid WiFi on American Airlines didn't work, but better late than never!!**


When I saw the Cowboys were trading up to the number 6 overall pick my first thought was confusion, followed immediately by extreme joy as I thought to myself that Jerry Jones had finally listened to me and was selecting Mississippi State DT/DE Fletcher Cox. When I started hearing that they were instead choosing LSU cornerback Morris Claiborne I was filled with more thoughts of confusion……


Let me start by saying I am very high on Claiborne, I feel he is the best all around defensive back in this draft and probably the best DB that the Cowboys could have taken. His physical style is ideal for Rob Ryan’s press man scheme and he is versatile enough to play outside corner or slide in and play the slot. He also has the ability to return punts, which the Cowboys are in desperate need of, after averaging over 26 yards per return at LSU. This is not a bad pick for America’s Team.

Now I know what most of you are saying, “What a flip-flopper, this guy has been banging the Janoris Jenkins drum for months!”. Yes, you are right, I do believe that Janoris is by far the best pure cover guy in this draft, and I had designs of taking him in the 2nd (possibly the 3rd) round where the value would be unbeatable. I think Claiborne has much more versatility than Janoris and never even thought there was a remote chance of landing him, so I never even thought of what would happen if we picked him until late last night.

So what does this mean for the Cowboys defense/secondary now? That is a good question and one that I am currently working on still…..

My initial thought was “Well, you can never have to many cornerbacks”, and then I remembered that the Eagles had three excellent cornerbacks last year and they couldn’t stop Blaine Gabbert from looking like a an actual NFL quarterback if they tried. Still, with the injury history of Mike Jenkins, having four solid cornerbacks is a good problem to have, as a Cowboys fan I know the problems of not having any good ones…..

As I am a fan of putting your best eleven players on the field at all times, and obviously our top four cornerbacks will be part of the “best 11” defensive players no matter what combination you try and use, how do we get them all on the field at once, especially if the offense isn’t running a 4-receiver set? NFL teams use 3-receiver sets for the majority of plays, and many times more, but they don’t run 4-receiver or more sets the majority of the time. So I will be researching this dilemma today, right now I am leaning toward my previous article of eliminating or minimizing the Safety’s on the field, running with either a “single high” or possibly no “true” safety. Ryan has the creativity and now has the personnel to make this a truly unique, one of a kind defense.
My second thought when I heard that the Cowboys were taking Claiborne, was who does this make expendable? Obviously Claiborne and the team’s new $50 million defensive back Brandon Carr are going to be on the field, that leaves Orlando Scandrick and Mike Jenkins.

Scandrick just signed a 5-year $27 million contract this last season, so I don’t expect them to even try and move him, whether by trade or outright release. Scandrick has been our best defensive back against the run, and plays aggressively, not afraid to take a chance and I think that is the kind of player Ryan likes. Yes, he did struggle quite a bit last year, but I believe that was largely due to the ineffectiveness of the rest of the defense, and constantly shuffling him from position-to-position to cover up for other players inefficiencies and injuries. Scandrick is not going anywhere, he is a young cornerback that is still growing and we have him at a good rate for the next few years.

That leaves Mike Jenkins, the former 2008 first round pick who became a full time starter in 2009. While he has basically been the best cover corner that the Cowboys have had for the last few years, the guy is literally always injured. I can’t remember a game he played where he did not have an ankle, knee, shoulder, hamstring, etc injury slowing him down. Also the fact that he is in the final year of his deal and is wanting Carr type money I think it’t time to move him…..and I mean now!!

Mike is recovering from shoulder surgery and will miss the beginning of off-season workouts, but it should not limit him during the season. Since he is owed a VERY reasonable salary of about $1.5 million this year, any team with a corner need who missed on their first round prospects should be calling the Cowboys (I’m talking to you Vikings, Patriots, Lions). I think that Mike is worth a 2nd round pick, especially if more than one team is fighting for him, realistically though we will probably get a 3rd and maybe a 6th.

Regardless, if we want to trade him (and I said last night I thought he would be on the trade block after the Claiborne pick) we need to move him early in the 2nd round so that we can package picks and move back into the 2nd if there is a player we covet (Ronell Lewis)


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Friday, April 6, 2012

NFL Draft Quick Hits - Robert Griffin III

By:  Bobby Shores

Yesterday I did a quick and informal run down of my thoughts on Andrew Luck, today my lucky (no pun intended) readers will get a quick hit on what I think of RG3.

I first became a big fan of RG3 early in the 2010 season when I saw a freakishly athletic quarterback who would be a Kordell Stewart "Slash" style QB in the NFL (Editor's Note: I think Stewart would have been successful if  he would have been given more of a chance to make his style of play work at the NFL level), at the time I imagined him being the guy that brings the spread offenses that we are seeing take over the NFL to the next level (That was because I didn't realize what Cam Newton would end up doing).

As we should all know, the highest level of football (NFL) mimics the lower levels, and as players are bred from middle school through college playing "spread style" offenses than it will eventually make its way into the pro level also, which it is now doing. That is why you are seeing very few traditional fullbacks, tight ends as an extra wide receiver rather than an extra tackle, 3-receiver sets more often than not and rushing yards/attempts dwindling. The only position that has not made the full transition to the spread is quarterback, but that is rapidly changing.

Gone are the days where traditional "pocket passers" are the preference of NFL coaches, now if you are a 6'4 statue in the pocket (Drew Bledsoe) you have a much less chance of making it then the previously unthinkable 6'1 quick quarterback. Teams are wanting QB's that can fire a ball 20 yards down the field into a sprinting players arms while on the run, and when they sprint right are just as likely to keep the ball and run for a first down as they are to launch it to one of 4 eligible receivers running a myriad of underneath crossing routes. Yes, many people thought that player would be Tim Tebow, unfortunately those are the people who know more about their church's choir formation than they do the Patriot's "12" formation.

So what skills does RG3 bring to the pro game that could revolutionize the quarterback position? He is the rare (1st ever?) quarterback that not only has Olympic sprinter speed but also a big arm that can throw into tight spaces. He can make people miss like Michael Vick, but teams will fear his ability to carve up a defense more than his break-away sprinter speed. His touch on deep balls is better than any other quarterback that I have seen in the last few years since I have seriously been scouting players.

To top it all off, he will instantly be the best franchise role-model that the Washington Redskins can have. Not only is he very well spoken and came from a military family, but he attended Baylor University where he graduated with a degree in Political Science and a 3.67 GPA in only three years. He shows resilience, determination, smarts and extremely high character and even if he wasn't a star football player I would love one of my daughters to marry a guy like him.

Really, I see ZERO downside to RG3, and openly touted him as the far superior quarterback to Luck since his game against TCU early this season, and check my Twitter if you don't believe me. While most people have a favorite between the two, I believe that they are both great quarterbacks with extremely high ceilings. The only thing I worry about is RG3's growth being stunted under the father-son Shanahan duo. Will they rein him in and make him follow their offense to a "T", or will they do what every coach should do and mold their offense around him, run stuff that plays to his strengths. Only time will tell, but regardless, Dan Snyder's FedEx field should start adding more seats instead of taking them away.


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Thursday, April 5, 2012

NFL Draft Quick Hits - Andrew Luck

By:  Bobby Shores

Sorry for my lack of posts lately, my paying job has been taking up a lot of my time....I know, it's not a good excuse, but until I can get some more of y'all to contribute (write) here than I am still a 1-man show. So since I felt the need to get some football stuff out of my head and onto paper (well a blog/computer screen, which is like the "new paper") and since the draft is coming up, I figured I would do some quick hitters on some draft prospects. These are not my full scouting reports, just my initial thoughts after watching film, reviewing my notes, and watching the combine. My first one today is on Andrew Luck.

Andrew Luck - I don't think the Colts can go wrong picking Luck, he seems to have all the tools needed to be a very successful NFL quarterback, but I am not willing to say that he is a "sure fire Hall of Famer" like most people out there seem to be proclaiming. I have liked him for a while now, but there are a few things that make me pause.

In some of the games I watched against some of the better teams I did not see the sound decision making that I like to see in the elite signal callers. Specifically, it appeared that he was timid when making deep throws and to often checked down due to what I felt was hesitation, almost like he didn't believe in himself. I want my quarterback to throw the ball with confidence and conviction every time. My other problem with him is that he has never played a down in the NFL, and yes I realize that applies to EVERY draft prospect, but to me I see the confidence and the proper attitude in interviews I just don't always see it on the field, which is where I want to see it.

So what is my overall impression of Luck? I think he will end up being a very good quarterback in the NFL, he has the tools to be an elite quarterback, it just worries me when people start piling on what could be unreasonable expectations onto a guy before he plays a down at the next level. I remember when Mitch Mustain committed to the Arkansas Razorbacks, and he was expected to bring multiple National Championships and Heisman Trophies....he flamed out, transferred to USC where he was a career backup before getting arrested for drugs and barely even made it on the field.

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Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Dallas Cowboys Breakdown: Offensive Tackle

By:  Bobby Shores

(This is the first part of a multi-part series breaking down the Dallas Cowboys by position, identifying areas of need and possible solutions for those needs, based on my film work and notes taken throughout the season)

The first day of team activity after the lockout ended the Cowboys made a statement that they were getting younger and shedding contracts that no longer made sense (yes the argument can be made that many of the deals never made sense), and it started up front with the right tackle position as they cut Marc Columbo, who was a former first round pick by the Bears whose career had been derailed by injuries before he revived it with the Cowboys.

Currently the Cowboys are only carrying three offensive tackles on the roster, with one of them being a purely project guy. This means that they must look to add an experienced veteran backup during free agency in case one of the starters goes down and their project tackle is not ready to step in.

With new offensive line coach Bill Callahan in the fold, look for the 'Boys to make a run at someone that he is familiar with, purely for depth

Here is a look at the offensive tackles currently on the Cowboys roster, and some changes/additions that may need to be made before training camp:

Tyron Smith (signed through 2014) - The biggest surprise of the 2011 season for not only the offensive line, but the Cowboys as a whole, was the emergence of rookie tackle Tyron Smith (who also happened to be the youngest player in the NFL). Smith was drafted No. 9 overall to play right tackle immediately and then move over to left tackle in a few years, but with the way he played this year, that move needs to happen yesterday.

When the Cowboys made him the first offensive lineman taken in the draft, I will admit I was less than pleased with the pick (Man I hate admitting I was wrong). My reasoning was that drafting the second best tackle on his team (Matt Kalil was the best) in the Top 10 is what you call "settling" and/or "reaching", that coupled with my perception that he lacked the work ethic that I looked for in a high first round pick (Gained 20 "bad" pounds before the draft), fueled my belief that he would be another career underachiever (much like Dez Bryant who I am right on so far). My other problem with him was that he had very little playing experience, starting only 24 games, and personally I like more experienced offensive linemen.

Good thing I can admit when I am wrong, and quickly. Early on in the preseason I started to realize that Smith could be the real deal; the team left him on an island in pass protection where he held his own and was excellent in run blocking where he regularly got to the second level. His dominance continued into the regular season where he often went up against the best pass rushers that teams had to offer and handled them with ease using his quickness, agility, and long arms to route them where he wanted them to go. Smith's only struggles (according to my eye) was dealing with stunts and when a defender used the same move on him over and over he would expect that and wait for it and then get beat when a new pass rush move was used.


Doug Free (signed through 2014) - After a breakout end to the 2009 season subbing in for an injured Columbo at right tackle. Free followed that up with a stellar 2010 season at left tackle holding some of the NFL's elite pass rushers to only 5 sacks all year (he faced Mario Williams, Julius Peppers, Dwight Freeney, Jared Allen, Packers and Giants(2) that year). He then signed a "team friendly" deal for a guy that appeared to be an up and coming left tackle, in hindsight it appears the team knew more than us and gave him a very good contract for a right tackle, which is where Free should be.

Free regressed badly this year, looking like he did not have the power (specifically in his lower body) or a quick enough first step to handle the big time pass rushers that litter the NFC East (he was credited for giving up 10 sacks). Not only did he struggle with sacks, he also had the most penalties on the team with 10 (5 holding and 5 false starts). Free needs to move back to the right side in 2012 where I believe he will be a Top 5 right tackle, and become a strength for this offensive line.

So why did Free appear to take such a large step back, and why did he seem to not have the power? While this is a tough question to answer from the outside looking in, I honestly think that without being in the team's regular off season strength and conditioning program he came into the season weaker and slower than before and was unable to keep up. Why do I think this? From what I could tell from watching film is that his technique still looks sound, he was just routinely overpowered and/or beat to either the inside or outside....due to not being as strong or quick.

Jeremy Parnell (exclusive rights free agent) - Parnell is relatively new at not only football, but the offensive line. He spent the first three years at Ole Miss playing basketball before playing defensive end his senior year, he signed with the Saints as a free agent in 2009 before the Cowboys signed him off their practice squad in 2010.

Parnell reminds me of a young Jason Peters (not saying he will be that good) in terms of raw talent and athletic ability but needs to improve his strength and add some bulk, and remember it was 3-4 years before Peters became a starting tackle after spending most of his career as a very large and athletic tight end. The Cowboys have already invested two years in Parnell and I expect them to remain patient with him, he should be a solid swing tackle if he can add some weight/strength in the off season.

Off Season Needs/Options

With the Cowboys only needing to add a tackle for depth purposes, I expect them to bring in a mixture of rookie free agents, some young cheap players and maybe a guy or two that new offensive line coach Bill Callahan is familiar with from his Nebraska and/or Jet days.

One possibility is the Dolphins Lydon Murtha who was the #1 offensive tackle prospect coming out of high school, and who Callahan recruited and coached at Nebraska. The 6'7 Murtha was the primary backup to Jake Long before being placed on injured reserve with a toe injury, and from the one preseason game I saw him in performed well


2012 Outlook - I look for Tackle to be a strength of the Cowboys offensive line in 2012 with Free moving to Right Tackle and Smith making the transition to Left Tackle. If Parnell develops as I think he will, he should provide the team with a "swing tackle" that can easily play both spots, allowing the team to carry only 3 tackles. In the event that Parnell does not develop as quickly as I expect, then look for the team to pick up a veteran tackle that is familiar with Callahan and his style.

Be sure to check back in the next couple of days for the release of the Breakdown on the Guards & check the ReclinerQB Twitter account to get it the moment it goes live.

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Friday, March 4, 2011

Safest & Possible Best Pick in the Draft - Patrick Peterson & Why They Won't Draft Him #1

I have already had one post about Patrick Peterson and the new breed of DB taking over the NFL, well here is another article focusing more on Peterson and why teams won't draft him #1 overall.  Patrick is the "do everything" DB from LSU, a guy who was a starter on a National Championship contending team the moment he stepped on campus as a freshman 3 years ago.  This is a guy who has prototypical safety size (6'1/4" - 219lbs) but cornerback speed, quickness, and instincts.  He will also jump into the Top 10 return threats in the NFL the moment he is drafted.  I believe that Peterson is a once every 10 year type player, someone that can lock up 1-on-1 against a teams best receiver and shut him down, or shut down 1/2 of the field.  Similar to a Darrelle Revis except Peterson's career will have 2 stages and that is why he is different then a Revis type.  Stage 1 he will be a regular All-Pro and Pro Bowl cornerback for at least 10 years.  Stage 2 he will move to safety and revive his career and be a perennial All-Pro and Pro Bowl safety, much like Rod Woodson did and like Charles Woodson and Champ Bailey will probably do.  Most draft "experts" have Peterson listed as the safest pick in the draft and the guy who may very well have the best Pro career out of anybody out there, and yet I am hearing that he "Cannot and Will Not" go #1 overall to the Panthers, and that he would not go #1 to any team that had that pick.

If you are like me you are wondering, why would this guy not be the #1 overall pick?  Well the thinking is, that because a team can basically take him out of the game by not throwing at him or if he is returning kicks, just not kick to him.  Unlike a defensive lineman who has a chance to make a sack or make a play every snap, or a quarterback who has the ball in his hands every play, a DB can be taken out of the game.  That is true, but if you take a DB out of the game by not throwing at him, he will neutralize your best offensive receiving threat if he plays man coverage, or he could take away half the field if he is playing zone.  To me that is a pretty big advantage.  Nobody is saying that Nnamdi Asomugha & Darrelle Revis aren't worth top player in the league money, or that Deion Sanders & Champ Bailey weren't worth it when they were in their prime; so why is Peterson not worth the #1 overall pick when he could be a defensive cornerstone for almost 20 years?!?!?! I just don't get it.

Lets take a look at the 2007 draft, the Oakland Raiders took QB JaMarcus Russell at #1, Tampa Bay took DE Gaines Adams #4, the Redskins took Laron Landry at #6, Atlanta took Jamaal Anderson at #8 followed by Ted Ginn Jr. taken by the Dolphins,the NY Jets nabbed Revis at #14.  I could keep going on with busts taken before Revis, I bet all those teams wish they would have spent their top 10 pick on Revis now.  In the 1999 draft Champ Bailey was taken #7 overall, Tim Couch was #1, Akili Smith and Ricky Williams were also drafted before Champ.  Was Bailey not worth the #1 overall pick?  I think my point has been made.

Next up:  What will change the way teams draft?  Why do they feel they have to draft the next Peyton Manning, Reggie White, or Orlando Pace at #1?  Why do they shy away from possibly better players at the DE, G, C, LB or DB spot?

Marcell Dareus VS Nick Fairley

A lot of NFL Draft debate has swirled over which D-Line prospect should be taken first in the draft coming up in April.  Since before the National Championship game and until the last couple of weeks the near consensus was Auburn's Nick Fairley.  After a good combine workout and and people being "scared" by Fairley's lack of production before this year, Marcell Dareus of Alabama has moved into the #1 spot.  I am here to let everyone know that Fairley is the guy, and will be the guy at the NFL level (and not just because my fiance takes credit for finding him while watching college football with me).

Lately I have been comparing soon to be draft picks with current NFL players, I will continue that here.  Marcell Dareus reminds me of the Cowboys Marcus Spears.  A decent yet unspectacular player, look at Spears just about 5 or 6 years after drafting him the Cowboys are letting him walk in free agency. Why?  Because he is not worth the money it will take to lock up a former 1st round draft pick to his second contract.  Just think how much it will cost you to lock up Dareus after his first contract if he is drafted in the top 10.  Spears and Dareus have more in common than size, they both had college experience playing a position of great need in the NFL but that little value is placed, 3-4 DE.  In the NFL the 3-4 DE is expected to take on blockers to free up the linebackers, they do not get a lot of stats, it is not a glory position, so even if Dareus is better than I expect, the numbers will never bear that out.  Could Dareus become an impact player at the next level?  Yes, if he is drafted to play NT or 3-technique in an upfield, disruptive, penetrating type defense where his speed and quickness for a big guy could give him an advantage.  The only problem with that is he is not used to playing that way, and would have to learn new skills and techniques with a move inside.  Without proper coaching he will just be a guy that takes on double teams in the middle of the line and doesn't make many plays.

On the other hand Nick Fairley reminds me of pre-Washington Redskins Albert Haynesworth.  An explosive, disruptive DT with a mean fiery attitude that will keep his teammates motivated.  While he showed up at the combine a little bit lighter than expected, that does not phase me, look at the Cowboys Jay Ratliff, he is a very undersized DT that with a quick first step is able to get in the backfield before O-linemen are even out of their stance.  I am sure I will hear some arguments about Fairley being a "1 year wonder" which I normally shy away from, but there is an explanation for him.  He played at Junior College, the played 2 years at Auburn.  I believe his first year at Auburn was him just getting used to the competition of playing against SEC teams week in and week out, and that he has steadily improved each year.  Do I think he is ready to step in and have an Ndamukong Suh type impact? No.  The reason is because he needs to learn to use his hands better, he won't be able to just overpower NFL offensive linemen like he did in college, but with his motor and his fiery demeanor I believe he will be difference maker that sets the tone for his team, sooner rather than later.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

My Thoughts On Da'Quan Bowers

Everybody seems to have been raving about Da'Quan  Bowers, with many mock drafts having the Carolina Panthers taking him #1 overall, and all the others seem to have him in the Top 10.  Me on the other hand, I am not so impressed.

First he came out of high school ranked as a consensus top 10 recruit with most recruiting agencies having him ranked #1 or #2.  With that sort of high school pedigree I would expect him to be a difference maker at the collegiate level, but he never did much until his final year at Clemson.  In 2008 he registered 1 sack, in 2009 he registered 3 sacks, then he had his breakout year in 2010 with 15.5 sacks.  One year wonders always make me hesitant....I don't think all one year wonders are going to be busts, I happen to think Nick Fairley is going to be a very good NFL player, but that is based on the fact that I watched almost every single Auburn game and even my fiance picked him out as a great football player, and if she notices someone then they must be a BEAST!  The reason I worry about 1 year collegiate wonders is that there are a few of them in recent years that I do not think lived up to their billing:  Devin Thomas, Mario Williams(more on him below),

The other recent 1  year wonder that comes to mind is sure to be quite controversial is Mario Williams, drafted by the Texans #1 overall in 2006.  Yes, I know that he has made a couple of Pro Bowls and that he averages 8 sacks a year, but that is not the production you expect from a #1 overall draft pick.  The guy was a 1  year wonder at North Carolina State racking up 6 sacks in 2004 to 14 in 2005, and then put up some unbelievable numbers at the combine and that pushed him way up draft boards. Everything but the combine reminds me of Da'Quan.  From what I remember Mario just did not show up in big games, racked up big stats against inferior opponents similar to Bowers. Bowers multiple sack games came against powerhouses:  North Texas, Wake Forest, Maryland, North Carolina, North Carolina State, & Wake Forest. While he racked up 1 or 0 sacks against Auburn, South Carolina, Florida State, Boston College (against future 1st round pick Anthony Castonzo) and he racked up 0 sacks against Presbyterian (who???).

The other thing that worries me about Da'Quan is that he injured his knee in 2009 and missed a few games, and now he was unable to work out at the combine due to another knee injury.  He had surgery to repair a torn meniscus, and at the combine it was reported that his recovery was going slower than expected.  That draws a red flag from me, was he not rehabbing hard enough, not a hard worker, lazy? Injury worse than reported? Does his body just not recover fast enough?  All of those are questions that need to be answered, and I am sure teams will get to the bottom of it, but since I do not have access to that I can only speculate.

Anyways, I just do not see Da'Quan Bowers as a top 10 pick, this is just based on the limited information that I have and my gut instinct, the last time I had this "gut instinct" it was when the Texans drafted Mario Williams and I was at least partially right there.  The difference is I feel stronger about Da'Quan not being as good as advertised.  The other area where I am lacking in being able to make a more educated argument against him is that I did not get to see many Clemson games, but the one game I did see and remember (Auburn) he did not appear to be a difference maker.  I would love to see his film and break it down, I think it would provide the evidence I need.

Next Up:  Why I believe Nick Fairley is the better D-Line prospect than everybody's new favorite Marcell Dareus!

Monday, February 28, 2011

Julio Jones To Need Foot Surgery

To follow up on my previous post about Julio Jones being the best receiver in this draft by far and possibly best player there is breaking news that i read on profootballtalk.com that says he has to have foot surgery.  Apparently the physicals (most important part of the combine along with interviews) revealed some issue with his foot that is unknown at this point.  Along with that the surgery and recovery appears to be around 8 weeks so it is not major, and considering the fact that he put up those MONSTER numbers at the combine while needing foot surgery only cements him near the top of my draft.  I mean really, if the near consensus #2 WR posted numbers far superior to the CONSENSUS #1 receiver WHILE needing foot surgery and since I said (which really means nothing) that his games that I remember are better.....than this should cement him as the BEST WR in the draft.  Unfortunately I have no credibility, nor do any NFL people listen to me, nor do i know any NFL people to talk to......but they should know me and listen to me because I have one thing they do not have which is common sense....And I have been right more than I have been wrong in the years I have done this seriously....I think my record on bust vs success is like 50.5-49.5 (jury is still out on Jay Cutler but I think I will ultimately win) so I know I am as good as the regular NFL talent evaluators that have full access to film and much better information....